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Printers are suffering the same fate as hardcover books -- which is not only good for the environment but maybe for your state of mind.

In a research note titled "Dead-tree format is dying," Deutsche Bank analyst Chris Whitmore illustrated the decline of paper-spewing printers with plenty of stats (see graph below).

June quarter results for printer suppliers were "particularly weak as Canon, Epson, Lexmark and Xerox all missed expectations," according to Whitmore.

Canon, Epson, Hewlett-Packard, and Lexmark over the past 10 quarters show combined supplies and hardware revenues declining about 6 percent year-over-year in the second quarter of this year, Deutsche Bank said.

That's not all. Paper sales are trending down too. North American paper shipments of free sheet cut-size paper (A3 and A4 paper for printers/copiers) declined about 6 percent year-to-year the second quarter.

"Paper demand peaked in 2006 and has declined every year subsequently between 3-10 percent year over year and is now tracking 20 percent+ below the 2006 the peak," according to Whitmore.

Equipment and Supplies revenue trend for major printer vendors.

Equipment and Supplies revenue trend for major printer vendors.

(Credit: Deutsche Bank)

All of this is attributed to low-cost connected devices liketablets and smartphones. "Simply put, the content that was once printed for distribution or portability is now simply being distributed or shared electronically," Whitmore wrote.

And it's not just the consumer inkjet market. "From [a corporate] enterprise standpoint, printing is increasingly a cost to be managed lower rather than area of spend or investment," he said.

But environment-friendly discussions aside, the less printing one does, the better off one may be psychologically.

Printers are pretty much universally despised. Comic strips, movies, and countless tech support forum threads have been devoted to the perils of printing.

So, the more alternatives to printer frustration, perhaps the better.

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I got this article from here: http://news.cnet.com/8301-1001...mise-is-slow-steady/

I read a report the other day that stated the US printed page volume will reach 1.2 trillion pages in 2014 for the FIRST TIME. I think this was from IDC which is well respected.

As I was driving to an appointment today I was thinking about all of these reports and thought that the paper sales would even be a better indicator of what is going on. Wallaa, I had this the above article in an email today!

The gist of the report is that cut sheet paper sales continue to lose steam, and has not rebounded to the levels of 2006. The culprint, smart phones and ipads, but......maybe it's still the sign of the piss poor economy. The dive for my sales and I think others will agree started in 2007 and has continued to this day. Maybe it's still to early to blame Apple and smart phones?

Would like to hear comments from others do you agree, disagree?

Art
I think this can be very easily misleading. The proliferation of duplex printing over the last 5-10 years has increased significantly, even home printers ship with duplex now. This will impact paper sales at least 6% IMHO. Also a 6% revenue drop? I'm pretty sure the market price for cost per pages (on consumer and business alike) has dropped easily 5% per year. Even if you take into account increases through color it still doesn't add up.

So I'm still firmly in the camp that the increased volume and availability of digital content is actually increasing volumes in line with IDC's report - we are just all going to make less money providing each page.

I do however think users are smarter on how they print pages, I have seen a huge trend here of users going to a local store to get photo prints done rather than costly consumer inkjets.

Anyways that's my rant!
The decline in printed pages has been constant and accelerating, and we'll see stats over the next year that show it is increasing at a greater pace. We don't even have good stats for 2011 yet (first full year of the iPad), so expect 2010-12 stats to be brutal.

One thing I find very telling is the market demand for simple, unified mobile printing solutions... THERE ISN'T ANY DEMAND.

NO ONE other than the 25 year veterans at a company look at their smartphone or tablet and think "How can I get a printed copy"? Everyone born after the Nixon administration looks at their device and says "Cool, no need to print now, got it all in my pocket/bag".
I'm of the belief that much of the gain caused by digital documents is offset by loss caused by digital documents. Some pages may not be printed at all now but some pages may be printed 6-7 times. Where in the past we would have retreived a file from the file cabinet and return it without making a copy, now we print the digital file and throw away the print when finished, only to print it again 6 months later when we need it again. There are still a ton of employees out there that want to work with paper in their hands.

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